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I can only underscore Jere's point that what we need to advance the overall K-T debate are testable hypotheses that relate specific extinction mechanisms to the data of the fossil record. I'll be taking a look a Jim Pospichal's paper, but as of now I can't understand how bioturbation (a process that disturbs the differentiation between layers of sediment) can generate distinct, large-scale anomalies at different stratigraphic horizons. But even if a viable mechanism of this sort was available, does that mean that it would be is the only possible way of accounting for these observations? Of course not. We know that Ir is very mobile in the sediment and that it can be chemically concentrated at the base of shale layers and at REDOX boundaries (see Wang et al., 1993 [Geology] Sawlowicz, 1993 [P3]). Moreover, the fact that Ir anomalies appear in demonstrably incomplete sequences suggests to me that chemical concentration is more likely. As I see it there are two different questions here that are getting mixed together. First, there is the question of whether or not a bolide collided with the Earth at the end of the Cretaceous. Then, there is the question of whether this collision (if it took place) perturbed the environment in such a way as to account for the observed extinction record. The answer to the second question does not necessarily follow from the answer to the first. The Ir discussion plays an important role in both questions because it originally provided evidence for the identification and the timing of the impact (the latter of which is necessary to test extinction causation hypotheses). I'm perfectly happy with the idea that the Ir itself was ultimately derived from an impact event. But the fact that it moves around in the sediment (by whatever means) compromises its utility as a reliable indicator of the timing of the event(s). Not all Ir anomalies are synchronous. There is often a pronounced discrepancy between the level if Ir concentration and the level of enrichment of other (less ambiguous) types of impact debris (e.g., shocked quartz, glass spherules) that can range from a few mm to several meters. These observations have led some to believe that there may have been multiple K-T impacts - a scenario that might also account for the multiple Ir anomalies, while others (e.g., Wang, et al., 1993, Sawlowicz, 1993) have pretty much given up trying to interpret Ir anomalies as high-resolution evidence for the timing of an impact. Interestingly, Donovan et al. (1988) showed that the multiple anomalies in the Braggs section correlated to parasequences boundaries, once again suggesting a long Ir residence time in the environment and an inorganic control on its concentration. Finally, should we be suspicious of the coincidence of a putative impact event and large numbers of extinctions at the end of the Cretaceous? Certainly something major happened in the Maastrichtian-Paleocene transition and, as I've argued in several recent papers, I have no problem with calling it a mass extinction. The impact(s) would be strongly implicated on circumstantial evidence alone if no substantial environmental changes were taking place in the time interval leading up to the event. Unfortunately, this is not the case. During that time one of the largest and fastest marine regressions in the entire Cretaceous was in full swing. Recent high resolution isotopic evidence also shows that the climate was flipping back and forth between hot and cold phases (not ice ages mind you, but cold by Cretaceous standards). We know that these types of environmental changes have been responsible for biotic extinctions at other points in Earth history. The problem (perhaps an intractable one) is going to be identifying which species succumbed to "normal" environmental changes, which extinctions were uniquely associated with an impact event, and which were the product of both. The sensationalistic seduction of explaining everything by a big fireworks display is very tempting (and it makes excellent media copy). But good science can't be fit into sound bites and it's going to take a lot of hard interdisciplinary work before we get this part of Earth history properly sorted out. To paraphrase Mark Twain, "Rumors of a solution to the K-T extinction mystery have been greatly exaggerated." Norm MacLeod ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Norman MacLeod Senior Scientific Officer N.MacLeod@nhm.ac.uk (Internet) N.MacLeod@uk.ac.nhm (Janet) Address: Dept. of Palaeontology, The Natural History Museum, Cromwell Road, London, SW7 5BD Office Phone: 071-938-9006 Dept. FAX: 071-938-9277 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------
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