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Re: Supernova causing P/T boundry mass extinctions?



On Thu, 5 Jan 1995, Jere H. Lipps wrote:
> 
> You may not believe that Signor-Lipps had anything to do with it, but mere
> effort is not enough to overcome that effect.  It will always be there no
> matter how much you look.  It has nothing to do with uniformity of sampling
> either, as the sampling error and biases are present no matter how you do
> it.  Furthermore, negative evidence is no evidence at all, especially in
> view of an effect like Signor-Lipps.  You can feel about it anyway you want
> (I have my own feelings about what happened), but the Sig-Lipps effect has
> nothing to do with feelings and everything to do with data.  What Sig-Lipps
> says is that the expected condition will be a gradual decrease (of varying
> magnitude depending on a variety of original and ensueing conditions) in
> species diversity towards any set boundary, whether it be artificially
> placed or natural.  What that means is only that you cannot separate a
> gradual extinction from a catastropic one because all extinctions look
> gradual because of sampling error and bias of preservation and spatial
> distribution of the biota.  It does not mean that a catastrophe did not
> take place or that all the bones were dissolved by acid--it means you must
> seek other evidence not subject to the Sig-Lipps effect.
> 
Somewhere along the way, what I wrote has been unfortunately misconstrued 
to imply that I had said anything about the nature of the extinction 
event itself.  The only point that I was trying to make, I gather rather 
ineptly, was that the absence of bones throughout the western interior of 
the US needs to be explained.  If the Signor-Lipps effect is 
going to cover all the environmental, diagenetic, and sampling problems 
then so be it, but I feel that we would be better served to try to 
explain such phenomena in as much detail as possible.  Who knows, it may 
tell us something about the ever-elusive causation.

Peter Harries