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Thinking about mass extinctions



Dear colleagues:

I believe paleontologists are in a curious position when it comes to
discussing the present crisis in biodiversity as a mass-extinction event.
First, it is no doubt absolutely true that a lot of extinction is now
taking place without humankind's having caused it.  [The black-footed
ferret may be an example.  Although the prairie-dog-town habitat has been
cut back sharply, the ferrets seem  to be doing poorly even where the habit
is undisturbed and extensive.  I don't actually know any of this, of
course, but mammalogist friends have assured me that it is true.]  In spite
of the fact that some nonanthropogenic extinction is taking place, we know
the cause of the present crisis, if not the cause of some of the individual
extinctions.  The crisis is caused by one species, and if Homo sapiens were
to disappear from the earth tomorrow, things would start getting better on
Wednesday.  Regarding ancient extinctions, we are still arguing whether
some of them took place, and we are a long way from settling on a cause for
all but one or two mass-extinction events.  This makes very hollow the plea
to granting agencies we sometimes hear--that we have to understand the
Frasnian-Famennian (or other) crisis in order really to understand what is
happening in the modern world.  It just isn't so.

Second, everyone agrees that the crisis in biodiversity in the modern world
is a bad turn of events--one that ought to be stopped and reversed if
possible.  The message from paleontology, however, is that mass extinction
has been a good thing--or at the very worst a neutral thing.  We hear that
perhaps 95 percent of the marine species went extinct at the end of the
Permian.  The extinction cleared space for the Modern Evolutionary Fauna.
We lost the dinosaurs (except for the birds) at the end of the Cretaceous,
an event that cleared space for the rise of the mammals and the birds.  Who
regrets their extinction, considering the probably consequences of the
alternative for the rise of the mammals?  In the sea we lost the
ichthyosaurs, plesiosaurs, and mosasaurs.  Would we have dolphins and
whales if these reptilian sea monsters were still around?  I doubt it.

I am not suggesting that the modern crisis in biodiversity is a good thing.
I do suggest, however, that in the far, far future a surviving sapient
species, if any, viewing the event a posteriori, would be glad the
extinction happened if it cleared space and facilitated their evolution.

How do we carry this message to the public and the granting agencies
without sounding like a bunch of dedicated rednecks?

Best wishes,

Roger

--

Roger L. Kaesler
Paleontological Institute
The University of Kansas
121 Lindley Hall
Lawrence, Kansas 66045-2911
(913) 864-3338 = telephone
(913) 864-5276 = FAX

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